Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.193330 0.229274 0.269552 0.317959 0.374486 0.438338 0.515861
2025-06-08 0.134527 0.178876 0.234027 0.307365 0.402019 0.519729 0.676844
2025-06-15 0.107966 0.156354 0.221357 0.314459 0.443678 0.615871 0.861753
2025-06-22 0.088699 0.137966 0.208541 0.316020 0.474345 0.697509 1.034023
2025-06-29 0.073150 0.121239 0.194154 0.311348 0.493188 0.762286 1.187575
2025-07-06 0.061380 0.107785 0.181866 0.306862 0.510046 0.824052 1.341402
2025-07-13 0.055340 0.102326 0.180852 0.319168 0.553403 0.929399 1.571770
2025-07-20 0.052173 0.101095 0.186311 0.342331 0.616412 1.071503 1.874446
2025-07-27 0.048004 0.097304 0.186657 0.356407 0.665185 1.194566 2.157397
2025-08-03 0.042326 0.089718 0.179054 0.355061 0.686351 1.272371 2.370213
2025-08-10 0.036080 0.079970 0.166002 0.341722 0.683815 1.307829 2.511211
2025-08-17 0.030566 0.070780 0.152675 0.325924 0.674415 1.329246 2.627774
2025-08-24 0.027562 0.066664 0.149369 0.330501 0.706751 1.434602 2.917779
2025-08-31 0.023514 0.059561 0.138915 0.319166 0.706416 1.478630 3.097454
2025-09-07 0.021529 0.056843 0.137416 0.326485 0.745009 1.602293 3.444943
2025-09-14 0.019382 0.053332 0.133597 0.328099 0.771533 1.704113 3.758298
2025-09-21 0.017102 0.049056 0.127344 0.323258 0.783216 1.776195 4.017082
2025-09-28 0.015137 0.045225 0.121548 0.318610 0.794606 1.848497 4.282991
2025-10-05 0.014321 0.044353 0.122904 0.331360 0.847556 2.015910 4.770159
2025-10-12 0.014098 0.045109 0.128502 0.355355 0.929812 2.255982 5.439579
2025-10-19 0.013431 0.044456 0.130317 0.369936 0.990864 2.453720 6.031487
2025-10-26 0.012161 0.041755 0.126228 0.368541 1.012139 2.561646 6.427341
2025-11-02 0.010577 0.037761 0.117943 0.354724 1.000198 2.590038 6.639781